Lujomon
0xcc1f8127584d320842bd29c1e1bc945116c3cb6a
- Realised P&L
- $-188.01
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $16.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.030 | $9.15 | −$1.05 |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) · Croatia | 0.024 | 0.017 | $6.97 | −$2.87 |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? · No | 0.476 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.80 |
| Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.00at 0.857Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?
- +$39.00at 0.610Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$28.80at 0.240Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?
- +$25.72at 0.034Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$23.58at 0.016Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 14:18 | Spread: Croatia (-1.5) | BUY | 0.024 | $9.84 |
| 08-10 09:33 | Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.034 | $10.20 |
| 07-28 01:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 20:20 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.8975 | $89.74 |
| 07-15 09:26 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.685 | $68.49 |
| 07-01 12:23 | Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 06-17 20:54 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 19:31 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 18:23 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 15:11 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $4.25 |
| 05-13 07:56 | Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.40 |
| 04-07 17:09 | Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 07:50 | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 02-16 16:09 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 02-14 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $4.36 |