apexcollector
0xcc1d822e9f5904845ea433d017050dd54f86ff17
- Realised P&L
- $-462.28
- Volume
- $30.6k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $75.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.225 | $57.69 | −$42.31 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.095 | $14.90 | −$10.10 |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.070 | $2.48 | −$4.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.51at 0.610Clippers vs. Bulls
- +$55.55at 0.630Texans vs. Patriots
- +$44.34at 0.530Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5
- +$42.59at 0.540Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5
- +$34.00at 0.370Hornets vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:24 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.0588106735 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 18:44 | Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 18:24 | Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | BUY | 0.184639473 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 04:07 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $32.38 |
| 05-12 14:42 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.14 | $21.88 |
| 05-08 03:31 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.16 | $25.00 |
| 03-29 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | SELL | 0.4234106412 | $24.83 |
| 03-29 23:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.419999994 | $24.26 |
| 03-25 01:51 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.1899999944 | $25.00 |
| 03-25 01:17 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $34.65 |
| 03-22 00:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 03-19 19:22 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.018 | $96.75 |
| 03-19 18:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | SELL | 0.0101763707 | $9.23 |
| 03-18 20:26 | Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0318025391 | $14.53 |
| 03-18 03:13 | Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0547216991 | $25.00 |