MNJHBG
0xcc1550c01712a4c70db61e4865c826cc283c9eaf
- Realised P&L
- $-5.63
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $6.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.979 | $6.85 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.06at 0.988Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on March 27?
- +$0.01at 0.992Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:14 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $6.85 |
| 09-23 13:23 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.938 | $13.13 |
| 09-23 12:37 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.939 | $13.15 |
| 09-04 02:31 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.98 |
| 09-04 01:28 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 08-08 15:47 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $73.95 |
| 08-08 15:47 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.996 | $23.90 |
| 08-08 15:33 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.93 |
| 08-08 15:33 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $74.02 |
| 08-08 15:30 | Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $97.31 |
| 08-08 15:09 | Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $97.40 |
| 07-30 04:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 07-29 04:23 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 07-29 04:22 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.58 |
| 07-29 01:24 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.58 |