Hezi.m
0xcc10d0dff1f9366dacbc285dd4802bc329c73490
- Realised P&L
- $-66.62
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $76.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.375 | 0.170 | $76.04 | −$91.89 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.30 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.69 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.15at 0.489Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
- +$23.97at 0.676Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$21.72at 0.049Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
- +$18.06at 0.830Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
- +$4.27at 0.579Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-11 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0090000011 | $10.30 |
| 03-11 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | SELL | 0.991000093 | $10.28 |
| 03-11 19:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5790048043 | $5.92 |
| 03-11 19:27 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.2948007681 | $6.14 |
| 03-10 21:54 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.3290014741 | $51.69 |
| 03-10 21:52 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | SELL | 0.0844086604 | $51.70 |
| 03-10 21:51 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.3754137943 | $167.93 |
| 03-10 21:50 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | SELL | 0.8 | $167.75 |
| 03-09 18:55 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.8882260124 | $180.00 |
| 03-08 07:28 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 9? | BUY | 0.8297359924 | $88.00 |
| 03-08 07:24 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.6759157767 | $50.00 |
| 03-08 07:21 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | BUY | 0.1489999978 | $50.00 |
| 03-08 07:21 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 8? | SELL | 0.92 | $188.15 |
| 03-06 14:39 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.4099999447 | $2.89 |
| 03-06 14:38 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 8? | BUY | 0.4889653477 | $100.00 |