PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bigmoney69-

0xcc0e13660d0e8cade9a3df602a2566f5742e0176

Realised P&L
$18.74
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$2.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · Yes0.0600.066$0.99+$0.09
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? · Yes0.0600.080$0.80+$0.20
Fed abolished before 2027? · Yes0.0130.017$0.34+$0.07
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026? · No0.0500.000$0.00$0.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026? · No0.0600.000$0.00$1.02
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026? · No0.0500.000$0.00$0.50
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22? · No0.2700.000$0.00$0.81
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? · No0.0940.000$0.00$2.34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026? · No0.0600.000$0.00$1.08
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$1.00
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · No0.1100.000$0.00$1.10
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026? · No0.0600.000$0.00$1.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 19:20Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?BUY0.06$1.02
06-07 19:19Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?BUY0.06$1.08
06-07 19:18Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?BUY0.06$1.08
05-16 13:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.02$1.00
05-16 12:53Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?BUY0.27$0.81
05-13 10:08Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY0.033999968$1.00
05-13 09:50Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
05-13 09:49Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.26$1.04
04-23 07:45Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?SELL0.0111374004$0.81
04-23 07:45AI bubble burst in 2026?SELL0.132$1.69
04-21 16:08Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL0.013$1.86
04-20 11:53Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
04-20 11:51Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
04-18 20:16Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
04-17 21:16Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.0070000001$1.00