PolyBot

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Traders

0xcc096035169ba2e5b3e17e10af479c0d86011442

0xcc096035169ba2e5b3e17e10af479c0d86011442

Realised P&L
$220.52
Volume
$54.8k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4530.195$1.4k−$1.9k
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.3090.170$1.0k−$858.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 11:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$710.29
10-04 11:47Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.121268258$675.93
08-04 21:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1799999991$146.87
08-04 21:30Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1528219064$146.87
07-31 13:44Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2122417921$979.03
07-31 13:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.25$979.83
07-30 14:07Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3095531263$1.9k
07-24 09:07Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4045711073$977.15
07-07 19:35Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4763308118$2.4k
06-24 22:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.5231989403$5.4k
06-22 15:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.49$1.9k
06-15 18:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.3750390026$2.4k