0xcc096035169ba2e5b3e17e10af479c0d86011442
0xcc096035169ba2e5b3e17e10af479c0d86011442
- Realised P&L
- $220.52
- Volume
- $54.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.453 | 0.195 | $1.4k | −$1.9k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.309 | 0.170 | $1.0k | −$858.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.418Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$-418.24at 0.238Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$-451.77at 0.202Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 11:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $710.29 |
| 10-04 11:47 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.121268258 | $675.93 |
| 08-04 21:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999991 | $146.87 |
| 08-04 21:30 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1528219064 | $146.87 |
| 07-31 13:44 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2122417921 | $979.03 |
| 07-31 13:37 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $979.83 |
| 07-30 14:07 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3095531263 | $1.9k |
| 07-24 09:07 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4045711073 | $977.15 |
| 07-07 19:35 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4763308118 | $2.4k |
| 06-24 22:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.5231989403 | $5.4k |
| 06-22 15:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $1.9k |
| 06-15 18:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.3750390026 | $2.4k |