erw666
0xcbfc7558535a3e805da21260e96260d434202ae3
- Realised P&L
- $39.14
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $233.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.974 | 0.980 | $233.35 | +$1.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.61at 0.885 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$10.24at 0.950MetaMask airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.71at 0.997Base airdrop in Q2 2025?
- +$0.70at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.46at 0.998Base airdrop in Q1 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 13:46 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9738244597 | $232.00 |
| 12-19 13:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $232.76 |
| 09-25 02:10 | Astaria airdrop in Q3 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $232.53 |
| 05-25 07:34 | Base airdrop in Q2 2025? | BUY | 0.9969670573 | $231.82 |
| 03-04 03:59 | Base airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999969 | $231.36 |
| 01-07 05:23 | Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.8849999998 | $204.75 |
| 10-29 03:03 | MetaMask airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.95 | $194.51 |
| 09-29 03:37 | Base airdrop by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $194.32 |