0xCbF9D71502876AA6A5EDFa16c890A9480831a901-1782457008613
0xcbf9d71502876aa6a5edfa16c890a9480831a901
- Realised P&L
- $108.80
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $5.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien? · Yes | 0.711 | 0.125 | $5.28 | −$24.72 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.64at 0.284Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$17.36at 0.878Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$10.33at 0.662Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.34at 0.905Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.60at 0.058Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 17:46 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999911 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 17:45 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8780682453 | $125.00 |
| 06-30 06:16 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.07 | $37.50 |
| 06-29 06:43 | Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien? | BUY | 0.7105263127 | $30.00 |
| 06-26 07:09 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.2784444208 | $45.00 |
| 06-26 07:06 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6549999918 | $20.00 |
| 06-26 07:05 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0559999983 | $30.00 |
| 06-26 07:04 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9019999986 | $60.00 |