kwatt7
0xcbf55453129d8164ecb1baac07680f0ad7326638
- Realised P&L
- $-24.7k
- Volume
- $905.5k
- Markets traded
- 616
- Open portfolio
- $153.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded616
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.080 | $153.35 | +$53.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Up | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 21? · No | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.04 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU · Mississippi State | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.175 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.63 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15? · No | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$399.99 |
| Spread: Stanford (-20.5) · Elon | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Elon vs. Stanford · Elon | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 15? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.45 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.96 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.342 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.00 |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) · 49ers | 0.249 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.22 |
| Panthers vs. Eagles · Eagles | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.174Virginia Tech vs. California
- +$3.3kat 0.220Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 12?
- +$2.1kat 0.669Cowboys vs. Raiders
- +$1.9kat 0.672Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?
- +$1.9kat 0.260Bears vs. Eagles
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.0521668624 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 21:20 | Bills vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.3299999995 | $85.00 |
| 10-18 20:39 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.93 | $289.44 |
| 10-18 20:17 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6240238671 | $194.22 |
| 10-18 19:57 | Panthers vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.2699999994 | $97.00 |
| 10-17 23:32 | Spread: Stanford (-20.5) | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 22:11 | Elon vs. Stanford | BUY | 0.0263291068 | $65.00 |
| 10-17 18:50 | Florida vs. Texas | SELL | 0.6478042881 | $471.34 |
| 10-17 17:57 | Florida vs. Texas | BUY | 0.1349999999 | $98.24 |
| 10-17 16:11 | Mississippi State vs. LSU | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $20.00 |
| 10-15 18:27 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SELL | 0.58 | $123.91 |
| 10-15 17:50 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.309999999 | $66.23 |
| 10-11 19:24 | Spread: 49ers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.2487399194 | $59.22 |
| 10-10 22:24 | Virginia Tech vs. California | SELL | 0.53194382 | $2.1k |
| 10-10 22:24 | Virginia Tech vs. California | SELL | 0.5105912184 | $5.9k |