PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kwatt7

0xcbf55453129d8164ecb1baac07680f0ad7326638

Realised P&L
$-24.7k
Volume
$905.5k
Markets traded
616
Open portfolio
$153.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded616
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19? · Yes0.0520.080$153.35+$53.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Up0.0450.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 21? · No0.0610.000$0.00−$27.04
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$10.00
Mississippi State vs. LSU · Mississippi State0.1100.000$0.00−$20.00
Spread: France (-1.5) · France0.1750.000$0.00−$95.63
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15? · No0.0300.000$0.00−$399.99
Spread: Stanford (-20.5) · Elon0.2000.000$0.00−$100.00
Elon vs. Stanford · Elon0.0260.000$0.00−$65.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 15? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$60.45
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00−$25.96
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States0.0700.000$0.00−$4.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3420.000$0.00−$98.00
Spread: 49ers (-4.5) · 49ers0.2490.000$0.00−$59.22
Panthers vs. Eagles · Eagles0.2700.000$0.00−$97.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 23:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?BUY0.0521668624$100.00
10-18 21:20Bills vs. RaidersBUY0.3299999995$85.00
10-18 20:39Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?SELL0.93$289.44
10-18 20:17Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.6240238671$194.22
10-18 19:57Panthers vs. EaglesBUY0.2699999994$97.00
10-17 23:32Spread: Stanford (-20.5)BUY0.2$100.00
10-17 22:11Elon vs. StanfordBUY0.0263291068$65.00
10-17 18:50Florida vs. TexasSELL0.6478042881$471.34
10-17 17:57Florida vs. TexasBUY0.1349999999$98.24
10-17 16:11Mississippi State vs. LSUBUY0.1099999999$20.00
10-15 18:27Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansSELL0.58$123.91
10-15 17:50Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.309999999$66.23
10-11 19:24Spread: 49ers (-4.5)BUY0.2487399194$59.22
10-10 22:24Virginia Tech vs. CaliforniaSELL0.53194382$2.1k
10-10 22:24Virginia Tech vs. CaliforniaSELL0.5105912184$5.9k