jonesaudrey
0xcbe9d3164302ff821a72a67bcae7ee4091c0b057
- Realised P&L
- $-89.00
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $10.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nolo peak at Category 4? · Yes | 0.904 | 0.979 | $10.19 | +$0.78 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) · Iowa | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.83at 0.580Boise State Team Total: O/U 27.5
- +$3.38at 0.970Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.78at 0.984Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.70at 0.984Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.04at 0.990Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:21 | Boise State Team Total: O/U 27.5 | BUY | 0.5799999932 | $13.57 |
| 01-31 13:53 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9839999995 | $14.68 |
| 01-30 15:44 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.04 |
| 01-30 14:19 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.27 |
| 01-30 13:30 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.27 |
| 12-30 08:36 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9939999565 | $13.21 |
| 12-30 01:47 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.93 |
| 12-30 01:36 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.08 |
| 12-30 00:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999801 | $37.24 |
| 12-29 19:16 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999928 | $36.70 |
| 10-31 15:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.9989999599 | $17.29 |
| 10-31 14:56 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.08 |
| 10-30 18:30 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.95 |
| 09-29 13:29 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.38 |
| 09-29 02:34 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.87 |