0xcbe8a7da47ec55eebd5e433e09aa368d8678a376
- Realised P&L
- $6.84
- Volume
- $118.08
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $21.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? · No | 0.835 | 0.750 | $3.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · No | 0.820 | 0.977 | $3.44 | +$0.55 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 19? · No | 0.230 | 0.695 | $3.32 | +$2.22 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? · No | 0.928 | 0.924 | $2.69 | −$0.01 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? · No | 0.915 | 0.889 | $2.66 | −$0.08 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · No | 0.973 | 0.984 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 19? · No | 0.990 | 0.984 | $1.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 19? · No | 0.979 | 0.952 | $1.07 | −$0.03 |
| Will Solana dip to $110 on September 19? · No | 0.990 | 0.755 | $0.84 | −$0.26 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 19? · No | 0.850 | 0.520 | $0.67 | −$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.09at 0.428Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 18?
- +$2.66at 0.441Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 11?
- +$0.47at 0.876Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
- +$0.19at 0.858Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 18?
- +$0.13at 0.894Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.2299999854 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 15:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9789995692 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 12:03 | Will Solana dip to $110 on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 09:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.8499999614 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 04:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 11:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 18? | BUY | 0.8399999084 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 07:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.4150943396 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 07:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.10 |
| 09-16 19:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.953 | $1.69 |
| 09-16 18:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.8899999515 | $1.10 |
| 09-16 17:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.42 |
| 09-16 17:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.04 |
| 09-16 17:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.05 |
| 09-16 17:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.02 |
| 09-16 17:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.03 |