PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcbe8a7da47ec55eebd5e433e09aa368d8678a376

Realised P&L
$6.84
Volume
$118.08
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$21.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? · No0.8350.750$3.59$0.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · No0.8200.977$3.44+$0.55
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 19? · No0.2300.695$3.32+$2.22
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? · No0.9280.924$2.69$0.01
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? · No0.9150.889$2.66$0.08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · No0.9730.984$2.02+$0.02
Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 19? · No0.9900.984$1.09$0.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 19? · No0.9790.952$1.07$0.03
Will Solana dip to $110 on September 19? · No0.9900.755$0.84$0.26
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 19? · No0.8500.520$0.67$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 15:42Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 19?BUY0.2299999854$1.10
09-19 15:04Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 19?BUY0.9789995692$1.10
09-19 12:03Will Solana dip to $110 on September 19?BUY0.99$1.10
09-19 09:29Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 19?BUY0.8499999614$1.10
09-19 04:29Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 19?BUY0.99$1.10
09-18 11:37Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 18?BUY0.8399999084$1.10
09-18 07:22Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 18?BUY0.4150943396$1.10
09-18 07:08Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 18?BUY0.4$1.10
09-16 19:01Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16?SELL0.953$1.69
09-16 18:03Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16?BUY0.8899999515$1.10
09-16 17:59Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16?SELL0.85$0.42
09-16 17:59Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16?SELL0.84$0.04
09-16 17:58Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16?SELL0.84$0.05
09-16 17:58Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16?SELL0.84$0.02
09-16 17:55Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16?SELL0.81$0.03