creson
0xcbe6b410556ca606ab7ec3ccb02f12e575da54ac
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $7.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$667.00at 0.420Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
- +$225.00at 0.210Alcaraz vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
- +$32.73at 0.864Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 18?
- +$21.01at 0.890Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 31?
- +$19.61at 0.866Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 08:37 | SC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.24 | $119.41 |
| 03-16 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 19? | BUY | 0.2 | $82.27 |
| 03-14 13:18 | Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5) | BUY | 0.14 | $49.89 |
| 03-13 00:26 | Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament? | BUY | 0.018 | $7.16 |
| 03-11 07:39 | Kristiansund BK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.21 | $59.81 |
| 03-09 13:59 | Alcaraz vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.21 | $59.81 |
| 03-06 02:48 | Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.18 | $41.46 |
| 02-20 08:41 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be less than 50? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.72 |
| 02-17 15:24 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on February 20? | BUY | 0.083 | $10.05 |
| 02-17 13:21 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 20? | BUY | 0.047 | $5.83 |
| 02-17 04:30 | Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 18? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.82 |
| 02-15 23:08 | Will Martin Momtahan win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.027 | $6.59 |
| 02-15 03:27 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 14,000,000 and 14,500,000? | BUY | 0.014 | $2.97 |
| 02-14 08:33 | Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.23 |
| 02-10 17:25 | Will Meta (META) finish week of February 9 above $620? | BUY | 0.039 | $4.65 |