PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

madi-1

0xcbe0b8276a9f98ec4b2ad93c3d987078540fa653

Realised P&L
$-6.81
Volume
$886.70
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$1.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27? · Yes0.1100.115$1.60+$0.07
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? · Yes0.2690.015$0.30−$5.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00−$1.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 22:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSELL0.66$11.88
09-26 22:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.47$8.46
09-26 22:05Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.05$0.50
09-26 22:04Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.05$0.18
09-26 22:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.08$1.00
09-26 22:00Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.13$0.65
09-26 22:00Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.14$0.70
09-26 21:58Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.1023228804$4.41
09-26 21:47Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.35$1.75
09-26 21:21Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.125$1.25
09-26 20:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.29$1.83
09-26 20:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.31$1.96
09-26 20:55Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.27$2.70
09-26 20:48Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.32$1.60
09-26 20:47Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.41$2.05