madi-1
0xcbe0b8276a9f98ec4b2ad93c3d987078540fa653
- Realised P&L
- $-6.81
- Volume
- $886.70
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $1.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.115 | $1.60 | +$0.07 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.015 | $0.30 | −$5.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$1.97at 0.715Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$0.94at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$0.29at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$-0.04at 0.031Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $11.88 |
| 09-26 22:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $8.46 |
| 09-26 22:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 09-26 22:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.18 |
| 09-26 22:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 22:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 09-26 22:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 09-26 21:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.1023228804 | $4.41 |
| 09-26 21:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-26 21:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.125 | $1.25 |
| 09-26 20:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.83 |
| 09-26 20:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.96 |
| 09-26 20:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 09-26 20:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-26 20:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |