overmind-cash-machine
0xcbde1f053c1afd2498e802bfb2e5f07b34d4f407
- Realised P&L
- $11.50
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $12.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.47at 0.110Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?
- +$6.75at 0.349Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
- +$3.53at 0.120Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.374Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
- +$2.04at 0.780Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 22:05 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.24 |
| 09-18 05:01 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.11 |
| 09-18 05:01 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.54 |
| 09-09 05:01 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.79 |
| 08-25 05:01 | Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.094 | $1.19 |
| 08-25 05:01 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by August 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.26 |
| 08-24 05:02 | Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by August 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.16 |
| 08-24 05:02 | Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.06 |
| 08-24 05:02 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.364632 | $1.82 |
| 08-24 05:02 | Will gas hit $3.25 (Low) by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-24 05:02 | Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by August 31? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.39 |
| 08-24 05:01 | Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31? | BUY | 0.034 | $0.60 |
| 08-24 05:01 | Israeli forces enter Choukine by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.17 |
| 08-24 05:01 | Will gas hit $3.70 (Low) by August 31? | BUY | 0.069 | $0.59 |
| 08-24 05:01 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.53 |