PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

overmind-cash-machine

0xcbde1f053c1afd2498e802bfb2e5f07b34d4f407

Realised P&L
$11.50
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$12.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15? · Yes0.6900.910$6.12+$1.48
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.2800.175$3.20−$1.92
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? · Yes0.3000.205$3.03−$1.41
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00−$0.43
Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00−$1.19
Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by August 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$0.39
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 16, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$3.70
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by August 31? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$1.23
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by August 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$2.26
Israeli forces enter Choukine by August 31? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$0.39
Will gas hit $3.25 (Low) by August 31? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$4.55
Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by August 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$0.16
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 22:05US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?BUY0.018$0.24
09-18 05:01Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.011$0.11
09-18 05:01Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?BUY0.011$0.54
09-09 05:01Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.13$0.79
08-25 05:01Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026?BUY0.094$1.19
08-25 05:01US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by August 31?BUY0.2$2.26
08-24 05:02Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by August 31?BUY0.025$0.16
08-24 05:02Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?BUY0.009$0.06
08-24 05:02Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.364632$1.82
08-24 05:02Will gas hit $3.25 (Low) by August 31?BUY0.01$0.10
08-24 05:02Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by August 31?BUY0.035$0.39
08-24 05:01Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31?BUY0.034$0.60
08-24 05:01Israeli forces enter Choukine by August 31?BUY0.16$1.17
08-24 05:01Will gas hit $3.70 (Low) by August 31?BUY0.069$0.59
08-24 05:01Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.34$3.53