0xcbD6b643b4D430FB3237d2CF64d4046b358F5a9c-1760460670621
0xcbd6b643b4d430fb3237d2cf64d4046b358f5a9c
- Realised P&L
- $-144.60
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $104.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes | 0.341 | 0.339 | $47.77 | −$0.35 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.331 | $40.17 | −$9.83 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.444 | 0.365 | $16.46 | −$3.54 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No | 0.354 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$183.81 |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.45at 0.567Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5
- +$14.61at 0.730Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-16?
- +$12.62at 0.667UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)
- +$11.06at 0.430Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 16:32 | Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.3409999988 | $48.12 |
| 09-26 17:49 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4119999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 01:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4439999906 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 05:23 | Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.4199999942 | $29.00 |
| 06-26 16:54 | Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 06-25 17:12 | UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6599999974 | $25.00 |
| 06-25 01:37 | Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5799999845 | $12.00 |
| 05-14 15:14 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 05-14 15:13 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 05-14 15:13 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.90 |
| 05-14 14:49 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.36 | $17.82 |
| 05-14 14:28 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.35 | $25.46 |
| 05-14 14:27 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.36 | $67.07 |
| 10-14 17:11 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-16? | BUY | 0.7299186679 | $39.49 |