0xcbd5e675917dd10c5949cc526a6202d40cc8bf4a
- Realised P&L
- $1.47
- Volume
- $539.18
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $16.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.82at 0.576Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$15.87at 0.469Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$4.42at 0.760Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.15at 0.744France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$0.82at 0.550Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 19:29 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.82 |
| 03-17 19:29 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | SELL | 0.74 | $4.05 |
| 03-15 02:24 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 02:23 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.71 |
| 03-15 02:22 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 02:21 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.68 |
| 03-15 02:21 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1603773346 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 16:44 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.729999958 | $4.00 |
| 03-13 15:45 | Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.829999969 | $23.00 |
| 03-13 15:44 | Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4686652249 | $14.00 |
| 03-13 15:43 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1399999872 | $9.00 |
| 03-13 15:43 | Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.00 |
| 03-13 15:42 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5759999969 | $31.00 |
| 03-13 15:41 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.76 | $14.00 |
| 03-13 13:16 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | SELL | 0.2889955022 | $1.93 |