kodeoed
0xcbd0f3b660c1c0609ac25919ec0cea828f7edec4
- Realised P&L
- $8.8k
- Volume
- $1.02M
- Markets traded
- 2,551
- Open portfolio
- $12.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,551
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? · Up | 0.994 | 1.000 | $7.8k | +$45.46 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on August 4? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $999.98 | +$5.02 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 4? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $965.61 | +$5.33 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on August 4? · No | 0.980 | 0.996 | $947.12 | +$15.11 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 4? · No | 0.990 | 0.997 | $697.55 | +$4.55 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 4? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $467.58 | +$2.58 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 4? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $402.38 | −$0.37 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $470 on August 4? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $14.99 | +$0.14 |
| Will Meta (META) close above $610 on August 4? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $4.90 | +$0.05 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $510 on August 4? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $4.90 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.869Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on July 22?
- +$337.66at 0.960S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 29?
- +$317.92at 0.949Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of June 29 2026?
- +$270.92at 0.938Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?
- +$220.32at 0.959S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:14 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $437.73 |
| 08-04 19:09 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 08-04 19:09 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on August 4? | BUY | 0.97059892 | $494.28 |
| 08-04 19:08 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 08-04 18:24 | Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.9861736229 | $198.00 |
| 08-04 18:22 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.9900952835 | $83.13 |
| 08-04 18:05 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $43.51 |
| 08-04 18:04 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $28.13 |
| 08-04 16:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.993 | $709.29 |
| 08-04 16:53 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.993 | $141.86 |
| 08-04 16:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.993 | $141.86 |
| 08-04 16:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.993 | $141.86 |
| 08-04 16:35 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.9751646093 | $915.57 |
| 08-04 16:33 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $285 on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 08-04 16:26 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $464.99 |