whitelauren
0xcbca2e23c0e350abc3871169b20898a7360fdc2c
- Realised P&L
- $-46.07
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $15.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.410 | $12.58 | −$0.31 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.439 | 0.439 | $2.58 | −$0.00 |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? · No | 0.400 | 0.030 | $0.36 | −$4.35 |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No | 0.640 | 0.065 | $0.27 | −$2.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.16at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?
- +$15.74at 0.480Knicks vs. Pistons
- +$14.86at 0.642Seahawks vs. Titans
- +$14.54at 0.632Patriots vs. Seahawks
- +$13.01at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 14:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4389999377 | $2.58 |
| 09-26 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.4199999889 | $12.89 |
| 09-21 08:52 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.61 |
| 09-21 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4299999571 | $3.81 |
| 09-18 07:00 | Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.71 |
| 09-18 06:58 | Wyoming vs. Central Michigan | BUY | 0.4899999309 | $3.19 |
| 09-16 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4975585938 | $10.19 |
| 09-14 07:43 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.7539999904 | $4.08 |
| 09-14 07:37 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.5599999937 | $7.13 |
| 09-09 13:20 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.62 | $24.49 |
| 09-05 16:27 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 6? | BUY | 0.2999999735 | $5.66 |
| 09-02 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.5699999945 | $16.71 |
| 08-30 17:16 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999899 | $17.30 |
| 08-27 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.6699999869 | $12.76 |
| 08-25 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.239999972 | $5.14 |