Bar434
0xcbc7c1e31dcf0d4c189099d6ea23c9a5617f52d2
- Realised P&L
- $0.02
- Volume
- $48.83
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $4.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.060 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.325 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Trump say "Ass" during his rally in Oklahoma? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.180 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Shas win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.310 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.02at 0.459Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 12:35 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.467 | $1.01 |
| 09-30 11:50 | Will Trump say "Ass" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:55 | Will Shas win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:46 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 10:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:40 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4589998394 | $1.00 |