PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

666David888

0xcbc1d775949a661e1e19f94f9db816b102e03342

Realised P&L
$-92.93
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
214
Open portfolio
$30.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded214
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28? · Yes0.9830.989$10.06+$0.06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 29? · Yes0.9890.990$10.01+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 30? · Yes0.9790.979$10.00−$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up0.6570.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.3890.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 10:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 30?BUY0.9785107418$10.00
09-25 10:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 29?BUY0.988505746$10.00
09-25 10:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28?BUY0.9829999994$10.00
09-25 10:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27?BUY0.96$5.00
09-25 10:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 26?BUY0.973999948$10.00
09-25 10:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?BUY0.9809999983$8.00
09-25 10:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25?BUY0.7799999435$8.00
09-25 10:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?SELL0.978$5.00
09-25 10:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25?SELL0.75$5.28
09-25 10:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25?BUY0.7099999702$5.00
09-25 10:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?BUY0.9779998924$5.00
09-25 10:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSELL0.99$10.52
09-25 10:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.9399999981$10.00
09-25 09:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.5799999768$1.00
09-25 09:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.75$1.00