Ratmend
0xcbc14272f49831edf2f82f642d13844b8d044692
- Realised P&L
- $23.36
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $5.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 September 14-20? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $5.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.00at 0.420Jazz vs. Pacers
- +$4.64at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$4.19at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.997Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 8 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9969998613 | $6.00 |
| 07-20 06:09 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 03:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.38 |
| 06-10 07:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 8 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 06:58 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $10.99 |
| 05-27 01:53 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $11.00 |
| 05-27 01:48 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.30 |
| 04-23 08:58 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999142 | $8.34 |
| 04-14 09:19 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.26 |
| 03-14 06:55 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.991 | $14.85 |
| 02-28 06:09 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.992 | $14.87 |
| 02-09 08:54 | Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.998 | $368.57 |
| 02-09 06:18 | Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.999 | $368.95 |
| 02-09 05:14 | Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $353.34 |
| 02-09 02:08 | Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.999 | $353.70 |