PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lotfan

0xcbb86bdc8fe0951aabde36670618791a8bea536f

Realised P&L
$-8.4k
Volume
$497.6k
Markets traded
751
Open portfolio
$307.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded751
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? · Up0.3540.485$307.42+$83.27
Ravens vs. Chiefs · Ravens0.5780.000$0.00−$359.16
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.0590.000$0.00−$69.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down0.1870.000$0.00−$50.00
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 9PM ET · Down0.5130.000$0.00−$399.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Down0.4010.000$0.00−$53.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.0670.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$115.00
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Down0.4140.000$0.00−$249.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00−$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Down0.4370.000$0.00−$80.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.3940.000$0.00−$100.92
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.6570.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 04:02Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.3599999677$2.23
10-01 04:00Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.3535659657$221.92
10-01 03:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.04$7.57
10-01 03:55Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego PadresSELL0.07$31.82
10-01 03:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.3908106681$74.00
10-01 03:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.05$1.09
10-01 03:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.08$17.37
10-01 03:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.3682243523$88.00
10-01 03:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.6730454211$100.00
10-01 03:40Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.1099999999$50.00
10-01 03:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSELL0.86$206.86
10-01 03:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.4697877287$113.00
10-01 03:33Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego PadresSELL0.13$65.03
10-01 03:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSELL0.76$104.23
10-01 03:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.3499999978$48.00