lotfan
0xcbb86bdc8fe0951aabde36670618791a8bea536f
- Realised P&L
- $-8.4k
- Volume
- $497.6k
- Markets traded
- 751
- Open portfolio
- $307.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded751
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.640Notre Dame vs. Arkansas
- +$1.3kat 0.690BYU vs. Colorado
- +$1.1kat 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12PM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.435Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$1.0kat 0.151Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3599999677 | $2.23 |
| 10-01 04:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3535659657 | $221.92 |
| 10-01 03:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $7.57 |
| 10-01 03:55 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | SELL | 0.07 | $31.82 |
| 10-01 03:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3908106681 | $74.00 |
| 10-01 03:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $1.09 |
| 10-01 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $17.37 |
| 10-01 03:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3682243523 | $88.00 |
| 10-01 03:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6730454211 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 03:40 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 03:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $206.86 |
| 10-01 03:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4697877287 | $113.00 |
| 10-01 03:33 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | SELL | 0.13 | $65.03 |
| 10-01 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $104.23 |
| 10-01 03:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999978 | $48.00 |