0xc00F034FFe934cE393D33f0E7894b1CD42C8b369-1774720671492
0xcbb5c4ee19ca40a57368fa949f90a0c2d5d33584
- Realised P&L
- $-90.75
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $33.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No | 0.510 | 0.500 | $9.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.335 | $9.57 | −$0.43 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · No | 0.490 | 0.500 | $5.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.285 | $4.89 | +$0.89 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.065 | $2.41 | −$7.59 |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $1,000 | 0.550 | 0.545 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.027 | $0.94 | −$1.05 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.78at 0.374Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
- +$6.71at 0.090Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$3.02at 0.622Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$0.45at 0.917Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.27at 0.790Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 13:22 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 14:53 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9169999199 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 14:32 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.1762646265 | $13.71 |
| 06-13 17:24 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 17:19 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0789999325 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 17:19 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999082 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 17:19 | Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? | BUY | 0.3739999912 | $16.00 |
| 06-09 10:04 | Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 10:03 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 06-08 19:51 | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.01 |
| 06-08 19:50 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.15 | $23.20 |
| 06-07 19:45 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 06-07 19:43 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999892 | $7.00 |
| 06-07 19:42 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 19:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |