PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fhfghb

0xcbb559e9abfff83fb98dedce9bd9914c0ab5b098

Realised P&L
$-25.25
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$2.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.8700.974$1.12+$0.12
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? · Yes0.7100.655$0.92$0.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.4840.000$0.00$1.14
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026? · No0.6200.000$0.00$2.03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on March 24? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in July 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on March 21? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$0.15
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026? · No0.5700.000$0.00$2.00
Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder0.8500.000$0.00$17.56
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 24? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 02:50Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
05-24 08:30Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 24?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
04-25 14:58Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
02-15 06:57Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?BUY0.6199999878$2.03
02-11 05:51Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY0.1379998965$1.00
02-09 14:07Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?BUY0.5699999059$2.00
02-05 15:18Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?SELL0.03$0.60
02-05 00:46Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?BUY0.45$9.00
01-09 02:58Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.5499999725$1.94
01-09 02:23Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETBUY0.5299998781$0.97
01-08 12:01Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.4199998236$0.97
12-14 03:03Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.85$17.56
12-01 02:55Mavericks vs. ThunderBUY0.8899999943$15.63
11-27 08:45Suns vs. ThunderBUY0.8899999994$13.91
11-27 08:44Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?SELL0.988$13.91