0xcBb3eA6B4b4720867Cada6fd0fcb9179D710d3F2-1768988166644
0xcbb3ea6b4b4720867cada6fd0fcb9179d710d3f2
- Realised P&L
- $310.49
- Volume
- $35.9k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $144.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$323.33at 0.030US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$316.67at 0.240US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$120.42at 0.293US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
- +$112.77at 0.470US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$106.25at 0.320US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 12:48 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-19 10:43 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $158.62 |
| 10-01 13:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3699999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 08:46 | US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1312791273 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 08:45 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 08:41 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? | BUY | 0.5399999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 08:40 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 06:30 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.01 | $76.92 |
| 07-01 08:00 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.029 | $96.67 |
| 06-24 11:58 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.86 |
| 06-15 09:55 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $20.59 |
| 05-29 13:38 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0069999993 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 13:38 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0149999997 | $50.00 |
| 05-29 12:40 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0129999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-29 12:39 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | SELL | 0.112 | $44.80 |