AnToX1c
0xcbb12fd7d91f9b274decfd76378df4bfb45efbcd
- Realised P&L
- $-70.61
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $127.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? · No | 0.895 | 0.989 | $127.62 | +$12.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.73at 0.750Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026?
- +$10.16at 0.950Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
- +$4.52at 0.980Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.40at 0.920Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026?
- +$4.26at 0.959Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:48 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.79 | $6.73 |
| 08-05 18:00 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.92 |
| 08-05 14:26 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 08-05 12:11 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $32.64 |
| 08-05 12:07 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.80 |
| 08-04 21:22 | Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $56.18 |
| 08-04 18:02 | Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $50.60 |
| 07-03 12:58 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.86 | $135.23 |
| 06-30 13:59 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $100.04 |
| 06-30 13:56 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $100.06 |
| 06-29 14:32 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $114.03 |
| 06-29 14:31 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $109.78 |
| 06-28 20:13 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $80.68 |
| 06-27 23:47 | Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.959 | $99.65 |
| 06-27 23:37 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.80 |