AnToX1c
0xcbb12fd7d91f9b274decfd76378df4bfb45efbcd
- Realised P&L
- $-159.47
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $11.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.865 | $10.38 | +$0.42 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.160 | $0.80 | −$2.20 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.01 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.22at 0.341Will Russia target Kyiv on September 20, 2026?
- +$18.85at 0.759Will Russia target Kyiv on September 15, 2026?
- +$18.73at 0.750Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026?
- +$17.87at 0.895Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
- +$10.34at 0.955Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 09:09 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 21:31 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $10.44 |
| 10-08 06:30 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $19.42 |
| 10-08 06:29 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $48.45 |
| 10-06 04:32 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $66.97 |
| 10-06 04:32 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.36 |
| 10-03 07:34 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 10-02 03:15 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 10-01 08:17 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $118.80 |
| 09-28 23:43 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $285.71 |
| 09-28 22:28 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-26 16:07 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $12.00 |
| 09-25 04:16 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $17.15 |
| 09-23 17:10 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $8.24 |
| 09-23 13:46 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $50.05 |