PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcbaf327403f3b49a58addb6c80e6fa9935dac083-1793102564978

0xcbaf327403f3b49a58addb6c80e6fa9935dac083

Realised P&L
$233.62
Volume
$67.9k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$277.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.6400.660$154.69+$4.69
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3050.300$74.80−$1.20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.6430.640$46.80−$0.20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.7500.745$0.99−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.6427113773$47.00
11-01 22:04Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
11-01 21:59Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
11-01 21:55US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.64$150.00
11-01 21:51Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?BUY0.3048128334$76.00
11-01 21:50US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.749999625$1.00
10-29 17:55Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.0040188899$18.56
10-29 17:11Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.0047488064$30.29
10-28 17:47Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.0070698927$150.91
10-28 06:29Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.019$44.00
10-28 06:18Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0224094527$350.00
10-28 04:20Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0500008821$500.00
10-28 04:10Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0480886338$100.00
10-28 03:57Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.9397193605$1.4k
10-27 18:58Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1641243483$95.00