viix
0xcba561fe3459fc1b0efacd2641ae428c140fe036
- Realised P&L
- $780.61
- Volume
- $42.7k
- Markets traded
- 360
- Open portfolio
- $230.61
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded360
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.130 | $74.37 | +$4.94 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.575 | $57.50 | +$22.50 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.550 | $55.00 | +$17.00 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.543 | 0.625 | $43.74 | +$5.75 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.38 |
| Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine? · No | 0.754 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.45 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? · No | 0.618 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.15 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$215.96at 0.206Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$128.63at 0.685Will Trump say "Soleimani" during WHCA Dinner events?
- +$62.26at 0.689Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
- +$61.20at 0.860US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$59.00at 0.410Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 16:18 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.018 | $4.17 |
| 08-29 20:32 | Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 08-05 22:31 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 07-14 00:39 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5975 | $100.38 |
| 07-11 16:44 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6475 | $25.90 |
| 07-11 16:43 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 07-10 18:20 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.73 | $50.37 |
| 07-09 16:32 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7775 | $100.30 |
| 07-08 19:56 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | BUY | 0.6179166667 | $74.15 |
| 07-07 22:35 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.5 | $41.50 |
| 07-07 20:04 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.61 | $25.01 |
| 07-07 14:15 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | SELL | 0.026293 | $2.63 |
| 07-07 01:33 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 07-06 03:16 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.86 | $100.62 |
| 07-06 03:14 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $25.20 |