PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

baogu

0xcba3d940a2d3ede39b124a69e5002555c1e3a13c

Realised P&L
$-12.4k
Volume
$24.9k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$9.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-50.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.3850.355$2.89$0.24
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes0.1400.160$1.14+$0.14
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0700.065$0.93$0.07
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.3500.305$0.87$0.13
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · Yes0.1500.130$0.87$0.13
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0800.066$0.82$0.17
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · Yes0.2700.210$0.78$0.22
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.7800.445$0.57$0.43
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1600.068$0.42$0.57
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.065$0.26$0.74
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.5620.068$0.12$0.88
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 · Under0.3200.000$0.00$2.00
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4200.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.00
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 · Over0.3400.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-14 16:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.44$2.93
05-14 16:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.299999925$2.00
05-14 16:26Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5BUY0.3399999422$2.00
05-14 16:26Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5BUY0.4499999212$2.00
05-14 16:26Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5BUY0.3399999422$2.00
05-14 16:26Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5BUY0.4399999296$2.00
05-14 16:26Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5BUY0.32$2.00
05-14 16:26Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5BUY0.4199999454$2.00
05-05 16:23Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSELL0.38$2.07
05-05 16:21Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.2399998754$1.31
05-03 11:45Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
04-29 12:02Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)BUY0.37$2.22
04-19 17:04Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?BUY0.76$2.00
04-13 18:29Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.3599999324$2.13
03-12 14:57Mavericks vs. GrizzliesBUY0.3490000692$1.17