baogu
0xcba3d940a2d3ede39b124a69e5002555c1e3a13c
- Realised P&L
- $-12.4k
- Volume
- $24.9k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $9.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-50.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.14at 0.140Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
- +$4.09at 0.550Heat vs. Pelicans
- +$3.84at 0.347Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
- +$3.35at 0.330Warriors vs. Suns
- +$3.35at 0.230Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 16:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $2.93 |
| 05-14 16:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 16:26 | Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 16:26 | Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 16:26 | Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 16:26 | Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 16:26 | Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 16:26 | Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 05-05 16:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $2.07 |
| 05-05 16:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2399998754 | $1.31 |
| 05-03 11:45 | Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 12:02 | Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $2.22 |
| 04-19 17:04 | Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 04-13 18:29 | Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3599999324 | $2.13 |
| 03-12 14:57 | Mavericks vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.3490000692 | $1.17 |