Bondoo7
0xcba2de21d12ede8d92a493d7fcb983dde90b7bd4
- Realised P&L
- $285.19
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $45.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)17.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.046 | $20.90 | +$0.90 |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.160 | $9.67 | −$0.33 |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.055 | $6.20 | −$13.80 |
| Plague case in US by December 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.130 | $6.19 | −$3.81 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.018 | $2.24 | −$7.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$598.20at 0.129Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$31.85at 0.308Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$24.36at 0.290Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$14.53at 0.256Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$9.00at 0.525Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:14 | Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30? | BUY | 0.0445078103 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 17:54 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.1773399011 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 17:53 | Plague case in US by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 06:45 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.1655306711 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 16:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 16:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 16:20 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.0599999978 | $25.00 |
| 07-19 16:20 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $25.00 |
| 07-19 16:20 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4274999914 | $25.00 |
| 07-19 16:19 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2624999929 | $25.00 |
| 06-22 19:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2459999982 | $100.00 |
| 05-16 17:26 | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans | BUY | 0.169999988 | $9.95 |
| 05-15 12:17 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $9.95 |
| 05-15 12:17 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.2899999863 | $9.95 |
| 05-14 19:15 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999863 | $9.95 |