Javier5776
0xcb8f86e37b0096ca33e6ff032ed253170977d302
- Realised P&L
- $-240.15
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 378
- Open portfolio
- $10.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded378
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.86at 0.036Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
- +$27.49at 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$26.88at 0.094Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
- +$26.58at 0.113Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?
- +$26.30at 0.123Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 11:59 | Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 09-12 11:58 | Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-12 11:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-11 13:02 | Will Elon tweet 760-799 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 09-11 13:01 | Will Elon tweet 760-799 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 12:58 | Will Elon tweet 760-799 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-09 18:54 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-09 18:53 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 09-09 18:35 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 18:28 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-24 12:01 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-24 11:58 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-24 11:58 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.371 | $3.71 |
| 08-21 17:40 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 17:39 | Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.40 |