9227jshsh
0xcb8958d949be35a5727225f176c4b60ad97f8803
- Realised P&L
- $-53.9k
- Volume
- $2.21M
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $79.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.001 | $66.55 | −$4.5k |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.001 | $13.05 | −$976.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.9kat 0.765US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$6.0kat 0.685US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$2.1kat 0.829US forces enter Iran by March 14?
- +$926.93at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
- +$898.00at 0.731Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 20:50 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0240687043 | $357.75 |
| 05-10 13:52 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0403325201 | $100.00 |
| 05-10 13:40 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0390167924 | $200.00 |
| 05-08 20:17 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.04 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 20:12 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0391412258 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 04:10 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0357066722 | $200.00 |
| 05-08 04:09 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0340020334 | $200.00 |
| 05-07 17:21 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0326771942 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 13:55 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 07:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 05-07 07:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 05-07 07:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $313.37 |
| 05-07 07:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9477336528 | $300.00 |
| 05-07 07:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $30.28 |
| 05-07 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2575532383 | $30.00 |