0xcb86049d110f5ff323035acf9ee801a2dd09ed2b
0xcb86049d110f5ff323035acf9ee801a2dd09ed2b
- Realised P&L
- $-23.75
- Volume
- $593.71
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $24.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sergio Massa win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election? · Yes | 0.458 | 0.280 | $21.41 | −$13.61 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.021 | $2.64 | −$22.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.06at 0.557Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
- +$19.09at 0.540S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?
- +$9.36at 0.815Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-15?
- +$0.44at 0.983Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$-22.46at 0.367CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 01:31 | Will Sergio Massa win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election? | BUY | 0.4578865992 | $35.02 |
| 05-06 14:54 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.1918449054 | $24.74 |
| 04-16 18:23 | Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-16? | BUY | 0.6799999962 | $49.27 |
| 04-15 16:35 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.8099999974 | $40.66 |
| 04-15 16:34 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $41.55 |
| 04-14 21:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15? | BUY | 0.5299999941 | $21.63 |
| 04-14 21:17 | CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.3599999949 | $21.60 |
| 04-14 21:13 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.38 |
| 04-13 21:24 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | BUY | 0.5499999957 | $24.65 |
| 04-13 21:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9829999975 | $25.33 |