PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcB82fA7fbC33aEe1B509C16D88a55dE97F09642b-1774976732862

0xcb82fa7fbc33aee1b509c16d88a55de97f09642b

Realised P&L
$-139.91
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
476
Open portfolio
$12.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded476
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.7101.000$5.63+$1.63
Will Romania win on 2026-10-05? · No0.8201.000$4.27+$0.77
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? · No0.8601.000$2.91+$0.41
Exact Score: Romania 1 - 2 Sweden? · Yes0.1100.001$0.01−$1.99
Exact Score: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 - 1 Poland? · Yes0.1400.001$0.01−$1.99
Exact Score: Ukraine 1 - 1 Hungary? · Yes0.1600.001$0.01−$1.99
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Belgium? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01−$0.99
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01−$0.99
Exact Score: Italy 2 - 0 Türkiye? · Yes0.1100.001$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Greece 1 - 1 Germany? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$2.00
Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain0.5900.000$0.00−$4.00
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Norway? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Serbia? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Wales 1 - 2 Denmark? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Serbia? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 16:11Exact Score: Italy 2 - 0 Türkiye?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-05 16:10Exact Score: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 - 1 Poland?BUY0.139999993$2.00
10-05 16:10Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Belgium?BUY0.1$1.00
10-05 16:09Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Belgium?BUY0.1$1.00
10-05 16:09Exact Score: Romania 1 - 2 Sweden?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
10-05 16:07Exact Score: Ukraine 1 - 1 Hungary?BUY0.16$2.00
10-05 16:05Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.8599999794$2.50
10-05 16:05Will Romania win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.8199999625$3.50
10-05 16:04Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.7099999769$4.00
10-04 18:42Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Norway?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-04 18:41Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Serbia?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-04 18:31Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.6$3.00
10-04 18:31Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.84$3.00
10-04 18:30Will Wales win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.75$1.00
10-04 18:30Will Greece win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.7799999688$1.50