Sapience
0xcb8229f46f167dd2912622292fc318ac28bb0675
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $91.0k
- Markets traded
- 450
- Open portfolio
- $410.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded450
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 44.5 · Over | 0.470 | 1.000 | $306.23 | +$162.23 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.485 | $103.93 | −$1.07 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 56.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$89.90 |
| Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.30 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.00 |
| Will Reds win? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.66 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5 · Over | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.92 |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5) · Thunder | 0.484 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.67 |
| Magic vs. Pistons · Magic | 0.165 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.85 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 · Over | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.67 |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Celtics 1H Team Total: O/U 60.5 · Over | 0.509 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.45 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.76 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.23at 0.622Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
- +$243.82at 0.421Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
- +$233.04at 0.442FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
- +$213.91at 0.500Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5
- +$195.43at 0.361ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:21 | Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $105.00 |
| 11-01 19:37 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.4699999996 | $144.00 |
| 11-01 17:37 | Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 17:34 | Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.4899999992 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 17:30 | Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.529999998 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 11:40 | Como 1907 vs. Venezia FC: Como 1907 O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 11:39 | SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.529999998 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 11:32 | Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 56.5 | BUY | 0.439999999 | $90.00 |
| 11-01 10:09 | Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 10:07 | Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.2099999994 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 10:07 | Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4093440592 | $126.00 |
| 11-01 08:14 | Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $74.40 |
| 11-01 06:30 | Adelaide 36ers vs. Brisbane Bullets: O/U 189.5 | BUY | 0.5154385947 | $113.00 |
| 11-01 02:58 | Oregon State vs. Fresno State: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $150.00 |
| 10-31 22:34 | 1H Spread: Miami (FL) (-7.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $60.00 |