PolyBot

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Traders

mp

0xcb78259d88449ac1b86188818cdca7e185e1e180

Realised P&L
$573.08
Volume
$42.8k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 20:40Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.72$864.00
07-01 13:50Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.023$7.84
06-30 03:46Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceSELL0.74$7.40
06-30 03:41Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.48$4.80
06-29 12:27Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.014$7.00
06-29 12:27Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.026$13.00
06-29 12:26Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.766$76.59
06-28 22:00Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$1.00
06-28 21:49Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.014$1.40
06-22 12:53Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.991$297.30
06-15 23:45Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?SELL0.8956874708$384.03
06-15 23:44Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.89$267.00
06-08 18:29Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?BUY0.6996781481$300.00
05-26 13:02Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.39$195.00
05-19 22:21Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.1276058$12.76
Trader mp · PolyBot Pro