itskoz
0xcb676515c05f5c33ce42d3a042c943052a395ea3
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $55.1k
- Markets traded
- 285
- Open portfolio
- $9.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded285
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$574.00at 0.379Packers vs. Bears
- +$227.22at 0.180Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$220.92at 0.500Spread: Rams (-10.5)
- +$163.33at 0.720Browns vs. Steelers
- +$144.30at 0.630Texans vs. Patriots
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 23:39 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.986 | $98.60 |
| 06-05 15:07 | Will Cameron Young win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.57 |
| 05-17 20:05 | Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.29 |
| 05-17 20:01 | Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? | BUY | 0.51 | $56.10 |
| 05-17 20:00 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference? | BUY | 0.71 | $426.00 |
| 05-17 19:58 | Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY | 0.125 | $22.50 |
| 05-17 19:57 | Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY | 0.17 | $20.40 |
| 03-11 17:19 | Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.09 |
| 03-11 17:16 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $96.20 |
| 03-01 01:19 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.967 | $96.70 |
| 02-28 14:50 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 02-28 14:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.049 | $5.39 |
| 02-28 14:48 | Blackhawks vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 02-28 14:47 | Penguins vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 02-25 19:09 | US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |