Vancouvertrader
0xcb66382dce9448a1372de78e4fb0609fe638a175
- Realised P&L
- $8.75
- Volume
- $295.1k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · No | 0.583 | 0.895 | $711.61 | +$247.78 |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes | 0.394 | 0.235 | $373.64 | −$252.01 |
| Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · No | 0.868 | 0.980 | $257.00 | +$29.36 |
| Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.124 | $4.03 | +$3.51 |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · No | 0.763 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$229.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$320.27at 0.216Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
- +$231.14at 0.205Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?
- +$147.59at 0.260Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$87.12at 0.042Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
- +$86.40at 0.568Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 05:47 | Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.231 | $3.17 |
| 07-28 17:17 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $79.99 |
| 06-29 23:26 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 06-29 22:47 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 06-21 17:07 | Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.63 |
| 06-19 21:10 | Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.88 | $34.32 |
| 06-19 21:08 | Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 06-19 21:00 | Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 06-19 20:58 | Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.879999993 | $50.00 |
| 05-28 06:25 | Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.15 |
| 05-28 06:24 | Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.93 |
| 05-28 06:24 | Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.25 |
| 05-28 06:24 | Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.023 | $0.21 |
| 05-28 06:24 | Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.11 |
| 05-25 20:29 | Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.52 |