0xCB5e81c05042C3fd13c615c1800C839d7521229e-1774519678558
0xcb5e81c05042c3fd13c615c1800c839d7521229e
- Realised P&L
- $107.34
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $14.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.91at 0.140Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$9.86at 0.172Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$5.53at 0.270Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$4.62at 0.398Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$4.31at 0.184Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:46 | Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 10:50 | Slovenia vs. Poland | BUY | 0.2048780438 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 21:06 | NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 20:31 | NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-10 20:16 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1479999782 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:56 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0674999408 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:16 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.0025 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 20:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 18:44 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2474999404 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 20:26 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.125 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 21:52 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 17:51 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2719998455 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 16:17 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 21:03 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |