PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCB5e81c05042C3fd13c615c1800C839d7521229e-1774519678558

0xcb5e81c05042c3fd13c615c1800c839d7521229e

Realised P&L
$107.34
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$14.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1370.182$7.99+$1.99
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1250.164$3.92+$0.92
Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.6100.605$1.98−$0.02
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$0.19−$0.81
Slovenia vs. Poland · Slovenia0.2050.005$0.05−$1.95
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00
NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to Advance · NK Celje0.3490.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.5370.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 13:46Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.6099999116$2.00
09-25 10:50Slovenia vs. PolandBUY0.2048780438$2.00
08-26 21:06NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-26 20:31NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to AdvanceBUY0.59999994$2.00
08-10 20:16Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1479999782$5.00
07-19 21:56Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0674999408$1.00
07-19 21:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.059999946$1.00
07-19 21:16Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.0025$2.00
07-19 20:21Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6$3.00
07-11 18:44Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2474999404$3.00
07-09 20:26Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.125$3.00
07-07 21:52Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-07 17:51Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2719998455$1.00
07-07 16:17Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.5$2.00
07-06 21:03Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?SELL0.001$0.01