johnydoe
0xcb563a9a6bbb99b5685c1c728255a25fc16350aa
- Realised P&L
- $-72.88
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $116.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 11? · No | 0.998 | 0.986 | $116.03 | −$1.47 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 20? · No | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.10at 0.301Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches
- +$2.50at 0.976France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$1.02at 0.991Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 4?
- +$0.81at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?
- +$0.54at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 18:39 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $117.50 |
| 10-09 17:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 10? | BUY | 0.9989999959 | $117.40 |
| 10-08 19:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $117.25 |
| 10-07 20:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $117.17 |
| 10-06 17:26 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9965911239 | $116.80 |
| 10-05 16:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $116.70 |
| 10-04 17:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $116.14 |
| 10-03 19:31 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | SELL | 0.49 | $25.26 |
| 10-03 19:17 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 19:17 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 19:15 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 17:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $106.93 |
| 10-01 17:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $106.75 |
| 09-30 17:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $106.65 |
| 09-29 16:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $106.45 |