Rasoulrtl
0xcb53d89b09e859585e450b4c5c010103929ae5d9
- Realised P&L
- $-6.8k
- Volume
- $122.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.034 | $1.1k | −$5.3k |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.050 | $10.71 | −$4.29 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$176.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-7.31at 0.210Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
- +$-34.59at 0.010Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
- +$-328.05at 0.057Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$-872.62at 0.036Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:06 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $15.00 |
| 04-24 07:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL | 0.007 | $45.03 |
| 04-16 05:57 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.0065412031 | $65.41 |
| 03-28 06:23 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.0034357413 | $92.17 |
| 03-08 13:59 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.024 | $26.66 |
| 03-08 10:18 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1989121408 | $811.16 |
| 03-08 10:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1060660099 | $176.00 |
| 03-08 10:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL | 0.2103513292 | $176.91 |
| 03-08 10:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.2196865297 | $185.00 |
| 03-08 06:52 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.186 | $42.53 |
| 03-08 06:44 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0339482788 | $170.00 |
| 03-08 06:44 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0337774471 | $400.00 |
| 03-08 06:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.2199999992 | $200.00 |
| 03-07 12:20 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0438450855 | $146.16 |
| 03-07 12:09 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1866161817 | $400.00 |