ApexCap09
0xcb53bc16af81c4157be3f543fecc07b86d91f294
- Realised P&L
- $-12.16
- Volume
- $917.92
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.62at 0.374Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 8?
- +$3.69at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 15?
- +$3.55at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 9?
- +$3.38at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 9?
- +$2.60at 0.661Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-18 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-18 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-17 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.75 |
| 09-16 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.7821781032 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-16 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 09-16 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.7183333333 | $4.31 |
| 09-15 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.90 |