PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

RSL574

0xcb4fedcec9ff430638c169eed2e5d984579092c0

Realised P&L
$-92.81
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5150.500$971.04$29.23
Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · No0.9590.977$86.40+$1.59
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · No0.5000.500$50.00+$0.00
Another pandemic before GTA VI? · No0.5000.500$50.00+$0.00
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.5080.500$50.00$0.80
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · No0.5810.580$29.00$0.05
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? · Yes0.2870.235$25.40$5.62
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes0.4700.445$22.25$1.25
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? · Yes0.3510.135$16.27$26.24
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · No0.6900.560$15.84$3.68
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.4170.315$9.45$3.05
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour? · Yes0.0450.026$2.12$1.47
Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? · Yes0.1290.011$0.48$5.46
Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election? · Yes0.0900.007$0.25$2.73
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$76.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 09:39Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.51$11.73
07-04 13:31Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.51$478.19
07-01 05:00Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY0.975$9.75
06-30 08:53Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.013$0.26
06-27 15:27Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.007$0.49
06-27 15:26Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.56$54.49
06-27 15:26Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.38$38.00
06-27 15:26Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.021$2.10
06-27 15:25Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.56$56.00
06-27 15:25Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.38$38.00
06-27 15:25Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.021$4.20
06-27 13:25Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.35$3.50
06-27 13:22Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?BUY0.29$23.20
06-27 13:21Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?BUY0.29$3.48
06-27 13:16Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour?BUY0.023$0.16