0xcb4D4389A5665334aF6D54D8e06E2ce401F3ed42-1771996824050
0xcb4d4389a5665334af6d54d8e06e2ce401f3ed42
- Realised P&L
- $-37.30
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $16.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.86at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22?
- +$1.46at 0.417Ethereum Up or Down on September 7?
- +$1.30at 0.935Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15?
- +$0.93at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?
- +$0.82at 0.715XRP Up or Down on September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 05:42 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.97 |
| 10-27 03:23 | Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.9439999773 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 03:23 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.6469997943 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 03:23 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9179999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 07:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 23? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.00 |
| 10-23 07:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.99 |
| 10-23 07:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.97 |
| 10-21 07:01 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.8199999071 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 07:00 | Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92? | BUY | 0.9619995738 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 07:00 | Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90? | BUY | 0.9629999851 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 07:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 07:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 13:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 19? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 13:33 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? | SELL | 0.989 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 06:10 | XRP Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |