PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcb4D4389A5665334aF6D54D8e06E2ce401F3ed42-1771996824050

0xcb4d4389a5665334af6d54d8e06e2ce401f3ed42

Realised P&L
$-37.30
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$16.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.7600.845$3.34+$0.34
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.8200.845$3.09+$0.09
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? · Yes0.8200.890$2.17+$0.17
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.8200.865$2.11+$0.11
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90? · Yes0.9630.973$2.02+$0.02
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92? · Yes0.9620.949$1.97−$0.03
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? · Yes0.7700.855$1.11+$0.11
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? · No0.9440.899$0.95−$0.05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19? · No0.9950.000$0.00−$15.00
Ethereum Up or Down on April 29? · Up0.9200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on September 23? · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on September 3? · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on September 11? · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 05:42Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?SELL0.63$0.97
10-27 03:23Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?BUY0.9439999773$1.00
10-27 03:23Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.6469997943$1.00
10-27 03:23Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.9179999945$1.00
10-23 07:17Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 23?BUY0.995$3.00
10-23 07:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?SELL0.94$0.99
10-23 07:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.88$1.97
10-21 07:01Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.8199999071$3.00
10-21 07:00Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?BUY0.9619995738$2.00
10-21 07:00Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?BUY0.9629999851$2.00
10-21 07:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.8899999555$2.00
10-21 07:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.95$1.00
10-19 13:35Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 19?BUY0.997$10.00
10-19 13:33Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?SELL0.989$10.00
10-15 06:10XRP Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.84$2.00