PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

textbook

0xcb4ca20e90dc83f60a1b2ccf6609c6a650907b09

Realised P&L
$-248.19
Volume
$8.3k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$64.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.8200.760$38.00$3.00
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.6800.775$15.50+$1.90
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.3000.225$4.50$1.50
Will the Eagles win the season series against the Cowboys during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.3200.205$4.10$2.30
Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026? · Yes0.2000.110$2.20$1.80
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · Yes0.2000.045$0.56$1.89
Will MrBeast say "Minecraft" during his next gaming YouTube video? · No0.1800.000$0.00$5.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 06:00Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.45$1.35
09-16 00:31Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$24.00
09-15 22:48Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?SELL0.43$13.85
09-15 20:54Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.233$3.91
09-15 20:27Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?SELL0.47$12.61
09-15 18:29Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.31$15.25
09-15 16:33Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?SELL0.68$34.00
09-15 12:37Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.3$6.00
09-15 10:23Will NK Rudeš be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?SELL0.35$7.00
09-15 09:44Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?SELL0.58$36.97
09-15 08:44Will Drake release a new album by December 31?SELL0.32$6.40
09-15 07:12Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.52$1.65
09-15 04:02Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.7$7.94
09-15 03:07Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.67$33.50
09-15 01:07Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.31$6.20