Legacy6
0xcb40a95ef14884796ed3e3d8514fc46374dc74d1
- Realised P&L
- $-0.83
- Volume
- $24.83
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $5.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.990 | $2.97 | −$0.02 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.974 | 0.959 | $1.63 | −$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? · No | 0.991 | 0.994 | $1.19 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.14at 0.954Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.08at 0.967Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.08at 0.972Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.06at 0.979Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.05at 0.954Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:47 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9739994942 | $1.66 |
| 09-15 18:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.99 |
| 09-15 18:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9909999942 | $1.19 |
| 09-09 03:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.75 |
| 09-09 03:35 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9529999902 | $2.91 |
| 09-09 03:32 | Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9779999993 | $2.82 |
| 09-03 11:54 | Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9659999913 | $2.23 |
| 09-03 11:53 | Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9529999983 | $1.12 |
| 09-03 11:52 | Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9789999914 | $2.06 |
| 09-03 11:51 | Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9709999959 | $2.62 |
| 08-28 23:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.9719999975 | $1.54 |
| 08-28 23:39 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.31 |