PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

byzftycw

0xcb3ab7fe9ab359ebcb96cad0666ef33f338cd3e3

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$184.0k
Markets traded
1,436
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,436
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes0.8330.755$568.72−$58.72
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes0.7400.850$453.71+$58.83
Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? · Yes0.6600.600$422.77−$42.28
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? · Yes0.8880.925$381.51+$15.02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1? · No0.8341.000$118.62+$19.62
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.3050.350$107.06+$13.74
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 1? · No0.9601.000$103.18+$4.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1? · No0.9631.000$102.73+$3.73
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.4690.555$97.61+$15.05
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · Yes0.3980.420$88.68+$4.67
Will Paul Choi win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.6170.537$23.63−$3.51
Will Bert Chen win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.9080.750$20.37−$4.29
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? · Yes0.9100.957$19.53+$0.95
Will Tsao Erh-yuan win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? · Yes0.2510.261$15.66+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1? · No0.9901.000$8.00+$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:51Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1?BUY0.8342099434$99.00
11-01 18:52Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?BUY0.99$7.92
11-01 17:51Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?BUY0.963231213$99.00
11-01 17:50Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 1?BUY0.96$99.10
10-31 18:53Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 31?BUY0.9894003634$99.00
10-31 18:50Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 31?BUY0.9625753289$99.00
10-31 17:52Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 31?BUY0.99$72.36
10-31 17:52Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 31?BUY0.9895899399$72.40
10-31 17:50Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 31?BUY0.99$72.86
10-31 16:52Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 31?BUY0.99$2.77
10-31 04:50Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?BUY0.77$46.20
10-31 04:25Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?BUY0.37$7.45
10-31 04:25Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?BUY0.36$18.36
10-31 04:24Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.311$48.05
10-30 19:51Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 30?BUY0.99$99.00