byzftycw
0xcb3ab7fe9ab359ebcb96cad0666ef33f338cd3e3
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $184.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,436
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,436
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.78at 0.507Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 24?
- +$170.28at 0.375Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 24?
- +$151.93at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 17?
- +$141.16at 0.419Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 20?
- +$118.30at 0.629Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.8342099434 | $99.00 |
| 11-01 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 11-01 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.963231213 | $99.00 |
| 11-01 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $99.10 |
| 10-31 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.9894003634 | $99.00 |
| 10-31 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.9625753289 | $99.00 |
| 10-31 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $72.36 |
| 10-31 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.9895899399 | $72.40 |
| 10-31 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $72.86 |
| 10-31 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.77 |
| 10-31 04:50 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.77 | $46.20 |
| 10-31 04:25 | Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.45 |
| 10-31 04:25 | Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.36 |
| 10-31 04:24 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.311 | $48.05 |
| 10-30 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |