liuhuang
0xcb37b6bb35d457021324effaccd8934ef2669426
- Realised P&L
- $-215.93
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $32.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.61at 0.119Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 15?
- +$56.10at 0.760CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5
- +$54.33at 0.659Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$35.49at 0.880Will Trump say "Capital of the World" in March?
- +$27.00at 0.730Solana all time high by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 03:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? | BUY | 0.948 | $14.00 |
| 04-20 04:01 | Will Meta (META) close at $640-$650 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24? | BUY | 0.1 | $65.69 |
| 04-02 17:40 | Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? | BUY | 0.15 | $89.07 |
| 03-09 13:57 | Will Aalesunds FK vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $79.04 |
| 03-07 11:30 | Hijikata vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $61.64 |
| 02-21 11:58 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 24? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.29 |
| 02-21 01:37 | Will the price of Solana be above $50 on February 24? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.16 |
| 02-12 17:05 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 14? | BUY | 0.03 | $6.13 |
| 02-11 09:59 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $380-$385 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13? | BUY | 0.048 | $6.18 |
| 02-10 15:43 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 12? | BUY | 0.036 | $10.16 |
| 02-10 00:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 12? | BUY | 0.167 | $27.91 |
| 01-15 04:11 | Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 47% and 48%? | BUY | 0.114 | $13.02 |
| 01-07 04:15 | Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9? | BUY | 0.05 | $6.43 |
| 01-07 04:00 | Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on January 9? | BUY | 0.188 | $32.88 |
| 01-06 10:06 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $335? | BUY | 0.043 | $5.40 |