0xcb34e61935dccc846e87e6f2233ba749706cc6d1
0xcb34e61935dccc846e87e6f2233ba749706cc6d1
- Realised P&L
- $21.35
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $13.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No | 0.210 | 0.095 | $4.52 | −$5.48 |
| Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.026 | $3.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.385 | $2.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.012 | $2.40 | −$2.60 |
| Will Romania win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.99 |
| Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.87at 0.490Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$50.56at 0.465Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$40.96at 0.201Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$39.65at 0.240Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$36.45at 0.271England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 16:02 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 08:52 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 08:49 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 08:48 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.0219999999 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 08:47 | Will Romania win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 19:54 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 17:17 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 00:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.56 |
| 09-19 20:22 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 17:05 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.63 | $211.55 |
| 09-13 09:25 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999519 | $1.87 |
| 09-13 09:25 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999209 | $1.99 |
| 09-13 09:25 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999782 | $4.12 |
| 09-13 09:25 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999959 | $27.38 |
| 09-13 09:25 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999982 | $37.74 |