PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcb34e61935dccc846e87e6f2233ba749706cc6d1

0xcb34e61935dccc846e87e6f2233ba749706cc6d1

Realised P&L
$21.35
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$13.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.2100.095$4.52−$5.48
Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26? · Yes0.0220.026$3.61+$0.61
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.3900.385$2.96−$0.04
Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.0250.012$2.40−$2.60
Will Romania win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.1300.001$0.01−$1.99
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 16:02Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.549999956$5.00
09-25 08:52Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.025$5.00
09-25 08:49Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.3899999844$3.00
09-25 08:48Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.0219999999$3.00
09-25 08:47Will Romania win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.1299999948$2.00
09-20 19:54Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.6199999907$20.00
09-20 17:17US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.2099999983$10.00
09-20 00:14US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?SELL0.32$3.56
09-19 20:22US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-13 17:05Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.63$211.55
09-13 09:25Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.4499999519$1.87
09-13 09:25Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.4499999209$1.99
09-13 09:25Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.4499999782$4.12
09-13 09:25Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.4499999959$27.38
09-13 09:25Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.4499999982$37.74