0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0
0xcb3143ee858e14d0b3fe40ffeaea78416e646b02
- Realised P&L
- $669.0k
- Volume
- $61.68M
- Markets traded
- 1,077
- Open portfolio
- $7.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,077
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$286.4kat 0.028Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$165.5kat 0.013Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$125.9kat 0.008Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$97.1kat 0.500Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
- +$94.9kat 0.500Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $17.00 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.80 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $24.00 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $6.60 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-03 07:51 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.89 |