PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0

0xcb3143ee858e14d0b3fe40ffeaea78416e646b02

Realised P&L
$669.0k
Volume
$61.68M
Markets traded
1,077
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,077
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.003$759.12$436.34
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.011$699.01$1.2k
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.007$593.43$1.9k
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$455.47$739.99
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$455.47$739.99
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$455.47$739.99
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$455.47$739.99
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$455.47$739.99
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$455.47$739.99
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.003$266.38$153.11
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$255.00$541.83
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.003$176.80$2.0k
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$159.82$259.66
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$159.82$259.66
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$159.82$259.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 07:51Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$17.00
07-03 07:51Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
07-03 07:51Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.004$0.80
07-03 07:51Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.12$24.00
07-03 07:51Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.033$6.60
07-03 07:51Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.007$1.40
07-03 07:51Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
07-03 07:51Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
07-03 07:51Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
07-03 07:51Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.007$1.40
07-03 07:51Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
07-03 07:51Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
07-03 07:51Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
07-03 07:51Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
07-03 07:51Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.006$0.89